Virginia presidential primary

So with only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul (absent a legal decision otherwise) having qualified for the Virginia Republican primary for president, does this mean that Paul has a decent chance at winning the Commonwealth just to keep the delegates out of Romney's hands if the race for convention delegates is looking close at that point?

(I suppose it depends to some extent on the degree to which the party establishment can GOTV with moderates, compared with Paul's ability to convince those supporting other candidates that this is the only way to keep Romney off the ballot in November.)

EDIT: See discussion of legal options here and here